Will the Rally in Precious Metals ETFs Persist?

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“Gold and Silver Prices Soar to New Heights in 2024 – What’s Driving the Surge?”

Gold and silver prices surged on Oct. 21, 2024, driven by ongoing investor interest in precious metals. Gold futures reached new highs, climbing by 0.8% and nearing $2,750 per ounce. Silver futures also saw significant gains, rising over 3% and briefly hitting $34 per ounce, the highest level in 12 years.

In 2024, both gold and silver have outperformed the broader market. Gold has risen 26% year to date, while silver has surged 35%, outpacing the S&P 500’s 19% gain. The SPDR Gold Trust GLD has gained 31.8% this year, and the iShares Silver Trust SLV advanced 42.4%.

Record purchases by central banks in the first quarter of 2024 have fueled the gold rally, with gold surpassing the euro to become the second-largest global reserve asset. Physically backed gold ETFs have also seen increased inflows for three consecutive months.

Investors have been drawn to gold due to declining inflation expectations and a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. Analysts predict that gold could reach $2,850 by the end of 2024, with the annual inflation rate in the United States slowing to 2.4% in September 2024.

Silver, which surged more than 6% recently, continues to perform well. Analysts forecast an average silver price of $45 per ounce next year, citing a bullish sentiment at industry conferences. Silver’s industrial applications, including electronics and solar panels, contribute to its appeal.

However, analysts caution that silver could face uncertainty if Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, potentially impacting the industrial metals market. Despite this, speculation of an industrial uptick has boosted silver prices since the Fed rate cut cycle began.

Gold mine production has shown a mixed trend in recent years, with a slight increase in 2023 following declines in previous years. Experts predict that gold could reach $2,700 per troy ounce by early 2025, with India playing a significant role in determining gold prices during key buying seasons.

The future of gold and silver prices hinges on the Fed’s actions and geopolitical developments. Investors should closely monitor economic and market events before making decisions. ETFs like iShares Gold Trust IAU and SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust GLDM offer exposure to gold, while iShares Silver Trust SLV and ProShares Ultra Silver AGQ provide access to silver.

In conclusion, the rally in precious metals ETFs is expected to continue, driven by various factors influencing the market. Investors should stay informed and consider their options carefully in the evolving landscape of gold and silver prices.