Navigating Volatility: Key ETFs to Watch This Week amid UAW Strike, Fed Meeting, Oil Price Surge, and Dollar Strength
Wall Street is facing a turbulent week ahead, with several key events expected to impact the market. The ongoing United Auto Workers (UAW) strike, the Federal Reserve meeting, soaring oil prices, and the strength of the dollar are all factors that investors need to closely monitor.
The UAW strike, which began last Friday at select Big Three automaker plants, has the potential to disrupt production and impact popular car models such as Ford Bronco, Jeep Wrangler, and Chevrolet Colorado. With around 12,700 workers involved in the strike, the union has warned that the action could escalate if demands are not met. This development has put auto ETFs like First Trust S-Network Future Vehicles & Technology ETF (CARZ) and Simplify Volt Robocar Disruption and Tech ETF (VCAR) in focus.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates at their current levels during its upcoming meeting. However, the central bank is likely to maintain a hawkish stance, signaling the possibility of at least one more rate hike this year. In such a scenario, dividend investing could be a prudent strategy, with ETFs like Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG), iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF (DGRO), and Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) offering consistent income streams.
On the commodity front, oil prices have surged to $95 per barrel, driven by strong demand and supply cuts from OPEC+ leaders, Saudi Arabia, and Russia. Investors looking to capitalize on the strength in oil prices may consider ETFs directly linked to futures contracts, such as United States Oil Fund (USO), United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO), Invesco DB Oil Fund (DBO), and United States 12 Month Oil Fund (USL). However, the rise in oil prices could lead to inflationary pressure and impact consumer spending, particularly in the discretionary and retail sectors.
The U.S. dollar has been trading near six-month highs ahead of the Fed meeting, driven by surging oil prices and expectations of high interest rates. This trend is likely to continue in the near term, with the dollar attracting more investments as investors seek higher rates than those available in Europe and Asia. ETFs like Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) and WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund (USDU) offer exposure to the rising dollar. Additionally, domestic-focused companies, particularly small caps, stand to benefit from a strong dollar and an improving economy, with ETFs like iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) poised for potential gains.
In conclusion, the current market environment is characterized by volatility and uncertainty, with multiple factors at play. Investors should stay informed and consider adjusting their portfolios to navigate the challenges and opportunities presented by the UAW strike, Fed meeting, oil price surge, and dollar strength. By keeping a close eye on ETFs most exposed to these events, investors can position themselves for success in the ever-changing financial landscape.