What you need to know this week

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“Stock Market Rally Teeters on the Edge Ahead of Wall Street’s Busiest Week of the Summer”

The stock market rally is facing a precarious situation as Wall Street gears up for its busiest week of the summer. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite recently experienced their worst single-day drops since 2022, struggling to recover losses during a Friday rally. With all three major averages closing the final full week of July lower, the market is in a fragile state.

Looking ahead, a Federal Reserve meeting, the July jobs report, and earnings from Big Tech giants like Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta will be key drivers of market direction as August kicks off. Additionally, updates on job openings, activity in the services and manufacturing sectors, and consumer confidence will be closely watched.

A busy week of corporate earnings is also on the horizon, with 171 members of the S&P 500 expected to report quarterly results. Companies like AMD, Arm, Boeing, McDonald’s, and Starbucks will be among those highlighting the schedule.

The Federal Reserve’s upcoming monetary policy decision on Wednesday will be a significant event to watch. While the central bank is expected to hold rates steady, recent economic updates have investors speculating on when the first rate cut will come. Signs of cooling in the labor market and a decrease in inflation metrics have led to expectations of a rate cut in September.

The labor market will be in focus on Friday as the July jobs report is released. Economists continue to debate whether recent trends represent normalization or more significant deterioration. With expectations of 175,000 nonfarm payroll jobs added and unemployment holding steady at 4.1%, the report will provide valuable insights into the state of the economy.

The recent sell-off in tech stocks has added to the market’s volatility, with the Magnificent Seven ETF dropping about 12% since July 10. Earnings from Big Tech companies could potentially change the market sentiment, but as seen in the prior week, it has been challenging to impress investors with earnings results.

Overall, the market remains sensitive to earnings reports, with any misses leading to significant price reactions. As investors navigate through a volatile period, the upcoming week will be crucial in determining the market’s direction and sentiment. Stay tuned for updates on key economic data, corporate earnings, and market developments as the summer rally faces its most fragile state yet.