3 Factors That Could Cause Gold ETFs to Rise Further

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“Gold Prices Soar in 2024: Here’s Why You Should Invest Now!”

Gold prices surged in 2024 driven by several key factors, including the potential for US monetary policy easing, a likely decline in the US dollar, increased geopolitical tensions, and continuous purchasing by central banks. The SPDR Gold Trust GLD, a gold bullion ETF, has seen a 12.3% increase this year and a 17.74% increase over the past year, indicating a strong upward trend in gold prices.

One of the factors contributing to the bullish outlook for gold prices is the falling output in the gold mining industry. Despite a 4% year-on-year increase in mine production in the first quarter of 2024, overall production has plateaued since 2016-2018, with no significant growth observed thereafter. John Reade, Chief Market Strategist at the World Gold Council, highlighted this trend, suggesting that new gold deposits are becoming increasingly scarce.

Furthermore, limited gold reserves pose a challenge to the mining industry. With approximately 187,000 metric tons of gold already mined and an estimated 57,000 tonnes of excavatable reserves remaining, obtaining government permits for mining operations has become more difficult. The need for essential infrastructure in remote mining areas adds complexity and time to the mining process, further limiting gold production.

The potential for the Federal Reserve to cut rates in September also supports the bullish outlook for gold prices. With inflation cooling in the US and the Fed indicating a possible rate cut, the US dollar is expected to weaken, and bond yields may fall. These factors are favorable for gold investing, as the precious metal tends to perform well in a low-interest-rate environment.

Gold ETFs, such as SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust GLDM, iShares Gold Trust IAU, iShares Gold Trust Micro IAUM, GraniteShares Gold Trust (BAR), and Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF AAAU, have all seen significant gains this year, reflecting investor interest in gold as a safe-haven asset.

In conclusion, the combination of falling output in the gold mining industry, limited gold reserves, potential Fed rate cuts, and strong performance of gold ETFs all point towards a bullish long-term outlook for gold prices. Investors looking to capitalize on this trend may consider adding gold to their portfolios as a hedge against economic uncertainty and market volatility.